Risk Register
Contract-level risk per school — renewal probability, revenue-at-risk, concentration
Scenario
Tracked Revenue
1,750,000
5 school contracts
Revenue at Risk
443,750
Σ(rev × (1 − renewal prob))
Top-5 Concentration
100.0%
1,750,000 of tracked
Non-Exclusive
1
Schools with competing rights
School Contract Register
| School | Contract (yrs) | Exclusive | Key Contact | Renewal Prob | Annual Rev | Rev at Risk | Replace (mo) | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63,750 | |||||||||
| 95,000 | |||||||||
| 124,000 | |||||||||
| 102,000 | |||||||||
| 59,000 | |||||||||
| Total (5) | 1,750,000 | 443,750 | |||||||
Feeds risk-adjusted scenario
Revenue at risk = Σ (annual revenue × (1 − renewal probability)). The risk-adjusted scenario on Scenarios reduces Year N+1 revenue by this amount to stress-test EV against churn concentration. Non-exclusive contracts should carry lower renewal probabilities to reflect competing MMR relationships.